The Projections Training Program
Welcome to the newest training developed by the Projections Managing Partnership (PMP) a group of state and federal partners dedicated to the operation “of an integrated, nationwide program of state and local projections”. The Projections Training Program — a series of e-Learning courses and supporting materials — along with the Projections Suite Software — the principal tool state analysts use for industry and occupation projections in the United States — are now available for use.
These courses and software have been developed through a state and federal partnership by experts in the field. The self-paced, e-Learning interface provides training opportunities that use the most current information available, incorporating technically engaging content. Several existing and two new training courses have been blended into four, clearly defined, e-Learning opportunities. The projections software has also been significantly updated and re-organized to offer analysts the latest, most efficient and beneficial projection tools, incorporating feedback and lessons learned from state projections analysts.
Like the projections our analysts produce, the Projections Consortium and Projections Managing Partnership join all the state agencies, federal partners, and their associated leadership in looking to the future. Our collective goals have been propelled forward with updated software and new training, thanks to Employment and Training Administration grants and many dedicated members of the Consortium.
We have come a long way and with this foundation, it is our pleasure to present to you the Projections Suite software and Projections Training Program.
About Our Courses
The Short-Term Industry Projections application produces two-year employment projections by detailed industries for your state and local areas. Output files from this application can be transferred to either Occupational Projections or Report Manager, two other Projections Suite applications. In addition, the output can be exported from the Projections Suite for use with other commercial software.
The Long-Term Industry Projections course will give you the technical skills and hands-on software experience to be able to complete long-term employment projections for your state down to the NAICS 4-digit level of industry detail. Regression analysis is the prominent statistical tool used to analyze the employment time series.
In the Occupational Projections (OP) section of the Projections Training Program analysts are taken through the necessary steps to develop short and long-term occupational projections.
Starting with industry projections from the short-term, long-term industry projections system or from any other industry projections source, this course moves from initial planning to final calculation of the end result of the entire projections process, an estimate of the number of future openings for each occupation in the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system. A primary reference is Projecting Long-Term Industry and Occupational Employment for States and Areas, May 2001 available from the Projections Central website and Projections Methodology in the Employment Projections section of the BLS website.
The Report Manager application uses output files transferred from the Projections Suite Estimation applications (STIP, LTIP, and OP) or files imported from external sources to generate projections-related analyses and reports. Within Report Manager, you can create descriptors (e.g., high growth industries and low growth industries), indexes (e.g., hot jobs based on occupational projections and occupational wages), or skills-based employment projections (e.g., green and non-green skill employment demand).
The Projections Managing Partnership (PMP) held its annual Summit from September 27-29, 2017 in Arlington, VA. This event allowed projections analysts to learn directly from each other and from federal representatives about topics that impact their day to day work on employment projections. Day 1 of the Summit was an “Intro to Projections” training, which was geared toward novice projections analysts with 0-2 years of experience. The course entailed lectures and Q&A about topics such as regression analysis, getting data and employment series, and industry and occupational projections. Days 2 and 3 was more interactive with panels and table discussions, including topics such as the Separations Methodology, Report Manager, national perspectives from BLS and ETA, and data suppression. The agendas and presentations for both of these events can be found here.